CoB’s Week 1 Picks

Let’s get things rolling as the greatest sport on Earth is back!

Thursday Night Football

Kansas City @ New England (-9) (O/U 48.5) – The last time these two teams played in a season opener, Tom Brady tore his ACL and the Pats missed the playoffs for the only time in the Brady-Belichick era. Brady is also on the cover of Madden!! Uh oh! This, combined with Andy Reid’s success with extra time to prepare, doesn’t bode well for the Pats, right? Wrong. Gillette will be rocking, Brady will be Brady, and the Chiefs will have to right the ship after suffering a week one loss. New England 28-20.

Sunday Early Games

New York Jets @ Buffalo (-9) (O/U 40) – There is a decent chance these two teams will be picking quarterbacks in the top five of the 2018 NFL draft, but since they are playing each other, one of them has to win. New York’s offense is going to be historically bad and the Bills know this is their easiest game. LeSean McCoy leads the way to victory. Buffalo 21-10.

Atlanta (-7) @ Chicago (O/U 48.5) – The Super Bowl hangover is upon us! Well, not yet at least. The Bears are going to start the season with Mike Glennon and even at home, they won’t have enough offense to keep up with the Falcons. Even though Kyle Shanahan is gone, Matt Ryan and Julio Jones start the season off right in a big way. Atlanta 34-20.

Jacksonville @ Houston (-5.5) (O/U 39.5) – Hook, line, sinker. The Texans have approximately a 0.1% chance to lose this game. The energy in that stadium with the city coming together after Hurricane Harvey is going to be insane. J.J. Watt and the defense is going to make life miserable for Blake Bortles and company. Houston 23-9.

Philadelphia (-1) @ Washington (O/U 47.5) – The two teams, sort of, forgotten about in the NFC East these days. With all eyes on the battle Sunday night between the other two teams, this one should be just as interesting. Kirk Cousins starts what could be his last year in DC, while the vaunted Philly front seven comes to town. Look for both teams to take chances, but the home team, supported by a great performance from the offensive line, takes the win. Washington 24-23.

Arizona (-2) @ Detroit (O/U 48) – Does Carson Palmer have anything left in the arm? If he does, he should be able to put it on full display in Detroit. In what is going to be an offensive shootout, Stafford outduels Palmer on the final drive to win. Detroit 31-27.

Oakland @ Tennessee (-2.5) (O/U 50.5) – I think this is the most exciting game of the week! Two young teams with tons of talent. Two QBs who are placing themselves among the top 10 in football. Mariota and Tennessee’s offense becomes their best defense as they control the ball with the run game. Tennessee escapes. Tennessee 28-26.

Baltimore @ Cincinnati (-3) (O/U 42.5) – Cincinnati will be playing without Pacman Jones and Vontaze Burfict due to suspensions, but the Ravens have already lost 10 players for the year. On top of that, Joe Flacco didn’t play all of the preseason with a back injury, therefore, his mobility is going to be minimal. Look for the Bengals youth-infused pass-rush to get after Flacco and lead the Bengals to a win in their first home opener since 2009. Cincinnati 23-17.

Pittsburgh (-9) @ Cleveland (O/U 46.5) – Cleveland is going to be better in year two under Hue Jackson. They had a great offseason and things are finally starting to look up. They won’t start right away though. The Steelers will win, but it will be closer than it should. Le’Veon Bell won’t get a full workload with less than a week of practice and Martavis Bryant will need to shake off some regular season rust after missing all of last season. Pittsburgh 27-20.

Sunday Late Games

Indianapolis @ Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) (O/U 41.5) – No spread has shifted since the lines first came out as much as this one. What was once a 3.5 point advantage for the Colts has now become 3.5 point advantage for the Rams. This has everything to do with Andrew Luck missing the game, which leaves Scott Tolzien at the helm. LA’s defense should be able to get after Tolzien all game and get the Rams off on the right step under Sean McVay. Los Angeles 17-13.

Seattle @ Green Bay (-3) (O/U 51) – In what could be a preview of the NFC Championship, the national game on Fox figures to give people their money’s worth as the Seahawks travel to Green Bay. The Packers always seem to start slow, but I think Aaron Rodgers has something to prove this season. Watch out NFC. Green Bay 28-24.

Carolina (-5) @ San Francisco (O/U 47.5) – Traveling across the country with a less than 100% Cam Newton isn’t the greatest recipe to start 1-0. However, they do get the 49ers and first-year head coach Kyle Shanahan. Don’t be surprised to see this one going down to the wire, as the 49ers will be competitive all year long. Cam makes just enough plays. Carolina 23-21.

Sunday Night Football

New York Giants @ Dallas (-4.5) (O/U 47.5) – I made my picks for the season yesterday, and I usually stick with my week one selections. However, due to the recent news of Ezekiel Elliott being able to play and Odell Beckham being up in the air, the result switches on this one. With the next six games in doubt, Zeke runs wild. Dallas 30-19.

Monday Night Football

New Orleans @ Minnesota (-3) (O/U 48) – Adrian Peterson heads back to Minnesota in week one! On Monday Night Football! The NFL loves their storylines. A New Orleans win would make a great ending, but Minnesota is just better. That defense is legit. Something that cannot be said for New Orleans. Minnesota 24-20.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver (-3.5) (O/U 43) – The final game of week one will give us the best QB-defense matchup of the weekend. Rivers has his weapons healthy, with the exception of Mike Williams, to head into Denver to face the elite defense of the NFL. It is going to be a chess match all game that ends in the road dog taking the game in the UPSET OF THE WEEK! Los Angeles 20-16.

 

Lock of the week:

Houston (-5) over Jacksonville

Other Best Bets:

Under 40 in NYJ-BUF

Over 48 in ARI-DET

SF (+5) vs. CAR

*Tampa Bay and Miami has been canceled and moved to Week 11 due to Hurricane Irma.

*Betting lines are used for those placing wagers legally in Vegas.

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