The second weekend in September was not kind to football in Ohio. Not only did the Browns and Bengals lose, Ohio State and U of Cincinnati took losses as well. If CoB picks had a game, we lost, without a doubt. Week One was filled with upsets and road teams taking games, something we don’t often see early on in the NFL Season. I think the results go back to the norm this week.
Thursday Night Football
Houston @ Cincinnati (-6.5) (O/U 38) – Thursday Night Football is synonymous for bad football, so it only makes sense that the two teams that disappointed the most in week one meet in the first real TNF showdown. Houston has 21 players on their injury report, starting a rookie QB, and has to travel. Cincinnati wins a game that could be mistaken as a bedtime lullaby. Cincinnati 16-10.
Early Sunday Afternoon Games
Buffalo @ Carolina (-7) (O/U 43.5) – Both teams are coming off wins against maybe the two worst teams in football. Cam Newton is clearly not 100%, so expect the Panthers to get a lead and play keep away, just like they did to the Niners. The Bills aren’t talented enough to stop it. Carolina 17-13.
Chicago @ Tampa Bay (-6.5) (O/U 43) – The Bears should have beaten Atlanta in their home opener, simple as that. While Mike Glennon wasn’t great, he made enough plays to win as two passes were dropped in the final four down series that would have won the game. Tampa Bay will have to shake off some rust after not playing in week one, but they pull it out. Tampa Bay 20-14.
Minnesota @ Pittsburgh (-6) (O/U 45.5) – Is this the year that Sam Bradford truly plays like a number one overall pick? He certainly did on MNF, but that was against the Saints. Traveling on a short week to Pittsburgh is really tough, and Le’Veon Bell is another week into football shape. An underwhelming performance, yet a win, against the Browns is in the rear view as Pitt goes to 2-0. Pittsburgh 24-17.
New England (-7) @ New Orleans (O/U 55.5) – The last two times the Patriots lost the opener, they went on to win the Super Bowl, so obviously they are going to win it again, right? The defense looked putrid against Kansas City, but the offense still score 27 on a tough Chiefs defense. Look for a shootout in the Big Easy as the Pats work out some of the kinks in the front seven. New England 34-24.
Arizona (-7) @ Indianapolis (O/U 44) – Even without David Johnson, I am still surprised the line is only 7. The Colts are horrible. For whatever reason, Andrew Luck has been heavily criticized in the last couple seasons, but it is clear the type of player he is when you watch without him. Look for another drubbing. Arizona 34-10.
Cleveland @ Baltimore (-7.5) (O/U 39.5) – The Baltimore defense is legit. Say what you want about their opponent in week one, but that unit is going to be at the top of the league. They are going to have to be if the Ravens want any shot at the playoffs. Joe Flacco cannot throw the ball 10 yards down the field, so look for them to harrass the rookie QB and run the ball 40+ times again. Baltimore 17-9.
Philadelphia @ Kansas City (-5) (O/U 47.5) – This game could go in a million different ways. Do we see a let down from KC after a big win? Or does the extra rest help them? How does back to back road games effect Philly? I think all of that mixes and Kansas City survives a late scare from Carson Wentz. Kansas City 28-25.
Tennessee (-2) @ Jacksonville (O/U 43.5) – Much like Baltimore, Jacksonville is going to do everything they can to try and keep the ball out of their QB’s hand. They were able to do it against Houston because of their pedestrian offense. Tennessee’s offense bounces back in a big way to avoid 0-2. Tennessee 24-20.
Late Sunday Afternoon Games
New York Jets @ Oakland (-14) (O/U 43.5) – The Jets stink. The Raiders looked like a serious contender. Second straight road game for New York. Ugly, ugly, ugly. Oakland 31-10.
Miami @ Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5) (O/U 45.5) – After the unfortunate events in Florida last weekend, the Dolphins make their debut in LA for the first home game for the new look Chargers. Miami will look rusty, and the Chargers will be ready to go, even on a short week, after a tough loss to Denver. All 30,000 fans will be rockin’! Los Angeles 27-17.
Dallas (-2) @ Denver (O/U 42) – The Broncos home-dogs after a big time win? Doesn’t seem right? Well, it says more about the Cowboys than anything. The offense gets all the publicity, but it was the Dallas defense that stole the show in week one. This coaching staff has mastered using the run game as their best defense. Dallas 20-13.
San Francisco @ Seattle (-13.5) (O/U 42) – If there is any team I wouldn’t want to be on this week, it’s the 49ers. They have to go on the road, after losing by 20 at home, to Seattle, who lost their opener as well. Look for Seattle’s defense to absolutely get after Brian Hoyer. Seattle 27-7.
Washington @ Los Angeles (2.5) (O/U 46) – Are the Rams much improved or were the Colts just that bad? I will take the latter and that shouldn’t make them favored this week. Washington is the better team, although the offense was disappointing in week one. Kirk Cousins should bounce back to get a much needed win on the road. Washington 24-23.
Sunday Night Football
Green Bay @ Atlanta (-2.5) (O/U 53.5) – A rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game and a second of a brutal duo to start the season for the Packers. Aaron Rodgers took a beating last week in the win, but it should hurt them this week. Look for Matt Ryan to get going this week. Atlanta 21-20.
Monday Night Football
Detroit @ New York Giants (-3.5) (O/U 43.5) – The extra day may help Odell Beckham get back on the field, but I don’t see him being 100% just yet. His presence will help the offense get in the endzone, but he won’t have enough of an effect playing in more of a decoy role. Captain Comeback, Matt Stafford, does it again. Detroit 22-17.
Lock of the Week (0-1): Seattle (-13.5) over San Francisco
Other Best Bets (1-1-1):
Under 38 in HOU-CIN
Under 39.5 in CLE-BAL
Arizona (-7) over Indianapolis
CoB Record ATS through Week 1: 8-6-1
CoB Record SU through Week 1: 9-6
CoB Record O/U through Week 1: 5-8-2