Thursday Night Football
Philadelphia @ Carolina (-3) (O/U 44) – Two of the biggest surprises meet tonight in Carolina. I can’t imagine the NFL thought they would both be 4-1 at this point. I always tend to side with the home team on short weeks and no different here. Cam will have his hands full with the pass rush, but that secondary is vulnerable. Carolina 27-23.
Sunday Early Afternoon Games
Miami @ Atlanta (-11.5) (O/U 46.5) – One of four spreads around double digits this week and I think Atlanta has the best chance to cover that and more. The Dolphins are miserable on offense, so no wonder their offensive line coach was participating with a “white powdery substance.” Atlanta 30-14.
Green Bay (-3) @ Minnesota (O/U 46.5) – Two straight road games for Green Bay is going to be difficult. But I just don’t see Case Keenum, on a short week, beating Aaron Rodgers. Discount double check comeback again. Green Bay 24-20.
Detroit @ New Orleans (-5) (O/U 50.5) – After a disappointing performance at home against the Panthers, the Lions now have to travel to New Orleans, who is coming off their bye. That’s tough luck. Matt Stafford is battling an injury, which could very well be the difference maker. New Orleans 28-27.
New England (-9.5) @ New York Jets (O/U 47.5) – No one could have ever thought that these two teams would have the same record when heading into their week six matchup. However, this game will go much like people thought/think it will. The Jets defense is better than expected, but the offense has no running back. New England 34-17.
San Francisco @ Washington (-11) (O/U 46.5) – Kyle Shanahan takes on one of his former employers. He will have the 49ers ready to go, even though they are winless. They surprisingly keep it close, as Washington struggles on the offensive side of the ball. Washington 23-16.
Chicago @ Baltimore (-6.5) (O/U 39.5) – Mitchell Trubisky gave the Bears franchise some excitement on Monday Night making his debut. He isn’t getting the easiest start by now going against another great defense in Baltimore. Chicago keeps it close on the road. Baltimore 19-17.
Cleveland @ Houston (-9.5) (O/U 47) – Is it too soon to call Deshaun Watson the real deal? He threw five touchdowns in primetime against the only unbeaten team in the NFL, albeit much coming in garbage time. The Texans will struggle to run against the underrated Browns front, which will allow Watson to air it out. Houston 28-23.
Sunday Late Afternoon Games
Tampa Bay (-1.5) @ Arizona (O/U 45) – The Cardinals are a mess. The offensive line is horrible and the defense looked below average a week ago. While the offense should be able to move the ball threw the air, Tampa got some extra rest to help fix some of their offensive woes, but Adrian Peterson makes a big play to win it. Arizona 31-27.
Los Angeles Rams @ Jacksonville (-2.5) (O/U 42.5) – Do the Jags have a letdown after their blow out win at Pittsburgh? The offense will struggle as long as Blake Bortles is behind center, but that defense is legit. Jared Goff will struggle for the second straight week. Jacksonville 20-17.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders (-2) (O/U ??) – The Raiders season is on the back of Derek Carr. They have little chance to win if he isn’t out there. I believe he will be and gets a close win over the Chargers. Oakland 21-20.
Sunday Night Football
New York Giants @ Denver (-11.5) (O/U 39) – There is no team that is a bigger mess than the New York Football Giants. No wide receivers healthy, no running game, and a top defensive back who was suspended for walking out at practice. This will be ugly. Denver 23-3.
Monday Night Football
Indianapolis @ Tennessee – Two teams in shambles in the AFC South. What a terrible game to have on Monday Night Football. Tennessee takes it because their quarterback is playing. Tennessee 24-16.
Lock of the Week (2-3): Under 39 in NYG-DEN
Other Best Bets (9-5-1):
Over 45.5 in TB-ARI
Cleveland (+9.5) @ Houston
New England (-9.5) @ New York Jets