Thursday Night Football
Miami @ Baltimore (-3) (O/U 37.5) – The two worst offenses in the NFL on a short week. YIKES! This is what everyone complains about when they talk about bad TNF games. Matt Moore is starting after Jay Cutler broke some ribs last week. He looked good in their comeback and will continue that momentum. Miami 17-16.
Sunday Afternoon Football
Minnesota (-8) @ Cleveland (O/U 38) – The three games in London have had scores of 44-7, 20-0, and 26-0. The prize for the Brits… the gift of Cleveland!! Can they just stay after the game?? In what should be another terrible game across the pond, the Vikings continue to win despite playing the third best QB on their roster. Minnesota 21-3.
Oakland @ Buffalo (-2.5) (O/U 45.5) – Amari Cooper is an actual football player. I wasn’t sure after the first six weeks. He came alive last Thursday and now Oakland has gotten that extra rest. However, they have to travel across the country and play a upper-tier defense. Buffalo 24-20.
Indianapolis @ Cincinnati (-10.5) (O/U 41.5) – The Colts are so bad. They may have two wins, but those two teams are winless. The Bengals should be able to bounce back after last weeks second half disappointment. Marvin Lewis struggles to cover spreads after playing in Pittsburgh, so a garbage time touchdown makes the game look closer than it will really be. Cincinnati 28-19.
Los Angeles Chargers @ New England (-7) (O/U 48.5) – Like I said when they started 0-2, the Chargers had the best team in that bunch. They have played like it the last two weeks. However, playing Denver at home is a little different that playing in Foxboro. Tom Brady is not slowing down and that defense is getting better every week. New England 30-21.
Chicago @ New Orleans (-9) (O/U 47.5) – Five weeks ago, the Saints were 0-2 and it looked like another carbon copy of their teams since the Super Bowl. The defense was still bad, and the offense would score enough to win around 7 games. Now, they have won four in a row and have taken control of the division. Chicago plays much better at home than when traveling. They won’t be able to throw the ball seven times to beat Brees. New Orleans 27-20.
Atlanta (-4.5) @ New York Jets (O/U 46) – Was Kyle Shanahan really that big of a difference maker in Atlanta? Matt Ryan has fallen back to the mean this season after last year’s career year. The Jets have been competitive all year long and will have a chance at the end to win this one. I just don’t think they have the big-time playmaker to do so. Atlanta 27-23.
San Francisco @ Philadelphia (-12.5) (O/U 46) – The Eagles hold the NFL’s best record and the biggest reason is the growth from Carson Wentz, who the Browns decided not to pick in the 2016 NFL draft. Even on a short week, they should have no problem with the winless 49ers, who have to travel yet again to the Eastern Time Zone. Philadelphia 31-13.
Carolina @ Tampa Bay (-2) (O/U 46) – Carolina gave up 4 completions last week and lost! That’s what happens when your offense gives opponents 14 points… and only scores 3. A good fix for the woes that Cam Newton went through last week is the Tampa Bay defense. They give up points to everyone. After a tough loss to Buffalo last week, Jameis will respond in what should be an exciting game. Tampa Bay 28-27.
Houston @ Seattle (-5.5) (O/U 45.5) – Prove it game for DeShaun Watson. He has been unbelievable to start his career, but Seattle is a different type of challenge. The 12th man will be rocking and while he will make some plays, he’ll take way too many hits. The Seahawk offense will do just enough to win. Seattle 20-16.
Dallas (-2) @ Washington (O/U 49.5) – Tough stretch for the Redskins. Monday Night against the Eagles and then hosting an excited Dallas group. Ezekiel Elliott will play again this week and then who knows! He will get carry after carry after carry. BUT! Kirk Cousins steps up. It’s a must win for Washington in my opinion. Cousins does it. You like that!? Washington 23-21.
Sunday Night Football
Pittsburgh (-3) @ Detroit (O/U 45.5) – Wins at KC and against Cincy has Pittsburgh looking like the class of the AFC, this just three weeks after Roethlisberger threw five interceptions. Ben struggles on the road, but since Todd Haley finally realized that he has the best runningback in football, he won’t need to be better than average. Pittsburgh 28-17.
Monday Night Football
Denver @ Kansas City (-7) (O/U 43) – Both teams are coming in on losing streaks and someone has to win. Denver is so bad on offense that I don’t see them coming to Kansas City and putting up enough to win. Kansas City 17-12.
Lock of the Week (3-4): Over 41.5 in IND-CIN
Other Best Bets (11-8-1):
Minnesota (-8) over Cleveland (in London)
Under 45.5 in HOU-SEA
Buffalo (-2.5) over Oakland
Record ATS through Week 7: 55-49-3
Record SU through Week 7: 68-39
Record O/U through Week 7: 54-50-3