CoB’s Week 9 NFL Picks

Thursday Night Football

Buffalo (-3) @ New York Jets (O/U 42.5) – Apparently, the Bills are for real. After starting 3-1, they lost to Cincinnati and people questioned how good they really were. Now they’ve won two in a row and travel to face the Jets on the short week. It isn’t a long trip and the best team usually wins if that’s the case. Buffalo 24-20.

Sunday Afternoon Football

Cincinnati @ Jacksonville (-5.5) (O/U 39) – Both of these teams are significantly stronger on the defensive side of the ball, which should lead to a low-scoring matchup. The Bengals have struggled all year to do three things: stop the run, run the ball, protect the QB. The Jaguars have two things they do REALLY well: run the ball, get after the QB. Sacksonville gets all after Andy Dalton and Fournette keeps the Jaguars in ball control offense. Jacksonville 19-10.

Baltimore @ Tennessee (-3.5) (O/U 43) – It is looking more and more likely that Ryan Mallett will be under center for the Ravens this week in Nashville. That is GREAT news for Tennessee, because he stinks. Baltimore already has trouble scoring, and it won’t be easy, even against a sub-par Titans defense. Tennessee 20-16.

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (-6.5) (O/U 51.5) – I whiffed on two teams in my predictions for this season. The Giants and the Buccaneers. I thought this was going to be the year of Jameis. He struggled and now has been playing through the shoulder injury. It seems to be progressing, but they just are not very good. The Saints keep rolling behind their run game opportunistic secondary. New Orleans 30-23.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) @ New York Giants (O/U 42) – Both teams are coming off byes, which should make the long trip a little easier for the Rams. They haven’t had any issues with the travel this year, and I don’t think they will this week. The Giants still have injury and personality problems. Jared Goff looks better and better each week. Los Angeles 24-20.

Denver @ Philadelphia (-7.5) (O/U 43.5) – The torpedo drop for the Broncos have put them in the position to start Brock Osweiler this week. Yes, Osweiler, after getting the big contract, failing in Houston, getting cut in Cleveland, has made it back as the Broncos starter. He has no chance in Philly this week. The Eagles win again. Philadelphia 24-17. 

Atlanta (-1) @ Carolina (O/U 43) – I pick against Carolina seemingly every week. I just don’t see how they can consistently win games. No they trade their “number one” wide receiver. Cam and the defense will beat the Falcons. It’s the NFL. Nothing makes sense. Carolina 24-23.

Indianapolis @ Houston (-7) (O/U 46) – In the middle of writing this, DeShaun Watson suffered a non-contact injury that is said to be a torn ACL. Talk about an rollercoaster 24 hours for Houston sports. The most exciting rookie in football will miss the rest of the season. They still beat Indy, who is playing their second straight road game. Houston 17-11.

Arizona (-2.5) @ San Francisco (-39.5) – Who knew an 0-8 team could make so much noise during the week! The Niners traded for their QB of the future in Jimmy Garappolo, but he won’t be suiting up this week. CJ Beathard will still be the man, while Drew Stanton trots out for the Cardinals. San Fran almost won in Arizona, they get win number one this week. San Francisco 20-17.

Washington @ Seattle (-7) (O/U 45) – Washington has been obliterated by injuries on the offensive line, which is a miserable thing when you are heading to Seattle. Russell Wilson and that offense got rolling last week and that won’t change this week. Seattle 30-17.

Kansas City @ Dallas (PK) (O/U 52) – The Zeke Elliott saga is finally over has he will begin his six game suspension this week. Now, they have to play one of the contenders of the AFC without him. This should mean that they don’t have a chance. Wrong. Dallas gets a big time win. Dallas 24-21.

Sunday Night Football

Oakland (-3) @ Miami (O/U 44) – Talk about a snoozer for SNF. Oakland can’t put together multiple good games in a row and the Dolphins are an absolute train wreck on offense. But hey, somebody has to win. I’ll take the team with the better quarterback. Oakland keeps their season alive. Oakland 28-17. 

Monday Night Football

Detroit (-2.5) @ Green Bay (O/U 43.5) – Brett Hundley got the bye week to get some more reps with the first team. This week should look much better than the New Orleans game, which they had the lead late in the fourth quarter. The Lions are coming off a tough loss to Pittsburgh, which will hurt them against the extra-rested Packers. Green Bay 21-20.

Lock of the Week (4-4): Seattle (-7) over Washington

Other Best Bets (13-9-1):

Jacksonville (-5.5) over Cincinnati

Over 43 in ATL-CAR

Under 52 in KC-DAL

Record ATS through Week 8: 64-53-3

Record SU through Week 8: 77-43

Record O/U through Week 8: 58-59-3

 

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