CoB’s Week 12 NFL Picks

Thanksgiving Day Football

Minnesota (-2.5) @ Detroit (O/U 46) – Too tough of circumstances for Minnesota to keep rolling. Stafford makes plays down the stretch. Detroit 24-20.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1) @ Dallas (O/U 46.5) – The Cowboys are an absolute mess. They can’t move the ball on offense, and have trouble stopping anyone on defense. Rivers and Gordon get rolling as they try to stay in the playoff hunt. Los Angeles 28-17.

New York Giants @ Washington (-7) (O/U 44) – In what should be a low-scoring battle, I do think New York keeps it close and has a chance to win at the end. However, their lack of playmakers come back to bite them. Washington 21-17.

Early Sunday Afternoon Games

Cleveland @ Cincinnati (-7.5) (O/U 39) – Over the last two years, the Bengals have struggled. Except against Cleveland. That continues today. Cincinnati 24-13.

Buffalo @ Kansas City (-8.5) (O/U 46.5) – After starting 5-0, the Chiefs have lost 4 of 5 and the Bills have been blown out three straight weeks. KC is more talented and they will want to respond after last weeks embarrassing loss to New York. Kansas City 27-20.

Carolina (-5.5) @ New York Jets (O/U 39.5) – The Jets are coming off a bye while Carolina is trying to stay step for step with New Orleans to stay in the division race. While the Jets have been better at home, the return of Greg Olsen makes all the difference. Carolina 24-17.

Chicago @ Philadelphia (-14) (O/U 43.5) – This game would be more competitive if the game was in Chicago, where the Bears play much, much better. Well, the game is in Philly, which means this one could get ugly. Philadelphia 33-14.

Tennessee (-3) @ Indianapolis (O/U 47) – It sounds like Brissett is going to play, which is imperative if the Colts want a chance. If the defense was healthier, I’d go with them, but they aren’t. Tennessee 24-20.

Miami @ New England (-17) (O/U 49) – Yikes. Like a car crash. So bad you have to look. New England 38-14.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta (-10) (O/U 47) – No Jameis Winston. That means Fitz-Magic gets after it again. We haven’t truly seen bad-Fitzpatrick yet, and with Atlanta starting to play like last year’s team, this one could be a stinker. Atlanta 27-13.

Late Sunday Afternoon Games

Seattle (-6.5) @ San Francisco (O/U 45) – The 49ers got their first win before the bye, which probably messed up their plan to start Garrappolo, which it shouldn’t. An injured Seattle defense will make this game closer than it should be. Seattle 24-23.

Denver @ Oakland (-3.5) (O/U 41.5)  – Denver has lost 6 in a row, and Oakland looks anemic and is firing everyone. Oakland is still in the wildcard race, so they play with more on the line. Oakland 23-20.

New Orleans @ Los Angeles Rams (-2) (O/U 54) – In the biggest game of the week, we have two of the biggest surprises of the season facing off. As much as I love Sean McVay, I believe in what the other Sean is doing right now with the the Saints. Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara over and over. New Orleans 28-23.

Jacksonville (-6) @ Arizona (-37.5) – It’s a broken record when talking about the Jaguars. That secondary will continue to feed off bad quarterback play. They get another one this week. Jacksonville 23-16.

Sunday Night Football

Green Bay @ Pittsburgh (-13.5) (O/U 43) – Brett Hundley is very bad. If the Packers can somehow stay alive until Aaron Rodgers is eligible to return in week 16. Unfortunately, this week won’t help. Antonio Brown is about to go crazy. Pittsburgh 27-14.

Monday Night Football

Houston @ Baltimore (-7.5) (O/U 38) – Even without an offense to speak of, the Ravens find themselves in control the last wildcard. They stand one game ahead of six teams in the AFC. Houston is one of those teams. The Baltimore defense puts the nail in the Texans coffin. Baltimore 24-10.

Lock of the Week: New Orleans (+2) over Los Angeles (Take the ML)

Other Best Bets:

Under 47 in Tennessee-Indianapolis

San Francisco (+6.5) vs. Seattle

Carolina (-5.5) over New York

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